Arsenal are clear favourites with the Opta supercomputer to take three points in the Premier League on Saturday against a struggling Wolves’ side. Look ahead to the game at Molineux with our Wolves vs Arsenal prediction and preview.
Wolves vs Arsenal Stats: The Key Insights
- The Opta supercomputer rates Arsenal as clear favourites for this game with a 61.4% win probability to Wolves’ 16.9%.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have lost 18 of their last 20 Premier League games against sides in the top two of the table.
- Only Liverpool are on a current longer unbeaten run in the Premier League than the Gunners.
Wolves will have to upset the form guide if they are to pull off an upset victory against Arsenal at Molineux on Saturday.
The Gunners have won their last seven league matches against Wolves and are unbeaten in 12 straight games in the Premier League – a streak bettered only by Liverpool’s 17.
One crumb of comfort for Wolves is that Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine away matches in the competition, but keeping clean sheets is a problem for the home side too.
Vitor Pereira’s men have lost all three of their Premier League games in 2025, shipping three goals in each of those defeats. Only twice have they lost their first four league outings to start a calendar year and, coincidentally, their fourth league match on both of those occasions came against Arsenal (1906 and 1982).
Wolves have been beaten in 18 of their previous 20 Premier League fixtures against sides sitting in the top two of the table, their two wins in that stretch coming in consecutive 2-1 victories over Manchester City and Tottenham in 2023.
Arsenal have scored in each of their past 34 meetings with Wolves in all competitions, last failing to do so in a 1-0 defeat back in February 1979. That equates to Arsenal’s longest scoring streak against an opponent and simultaneously Wolves’ longest without registering a clean sheet against a side in their respective histories.
In another concerning omen for Wolves, no team have conceded more goals against defenders than them (13), while no team have netted more from defenders than Mikel Arteta’s side (7). Even more worryingly, the Gunners have scored more goals from crosses than any other side in the top flight this term (11), with Wolves conceding the most goals from crosses in the Premier League (10).
Leandro Trossard has found some form in recent games, registering a goal and two assists in his last two Premier League games, as many as in his previous 14. The Belgian has been involved in more goals against Wolves in the competition than he has against any other opponent (8 – 2 goals, 6 assists).
Bukayo Saka is still out for Arsenal, while William Saliba is unlikely to recover in time from a hamstring injury – the Gunners have conceded 0.8 goals-per-game when Saliba has started since 2022-23 as opposed to 1.7 when he hasn’t.
Mario Lemina is not expected to play for Wolves as he continues to angle for a January transfer away from Molineux, while the likes Toti Gomes, Yerson Mosquera and Sasa Kalajdzic are among their long-term absentees.
Wolves vs Arsenal Head-to-Head
Wolves did the double over Arsenal in the 2020-21 campaign but have since been on an abysmal run of form against the Gunners.
Indeed, Arsenal have won their last seven matches against Wolves in the Premier League, including a 2-0 victory on the opening weekend of this season thanks to goals from Kai Havertz and Saka at the Emirates Stadium.
Moreover, they have won eight of their 10 Premier League away games against Wolves, losing the other two.
That represents their highest win rate against any side they have faced more than five times away from home in the competition.
Wolves vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal are the overwhelming favourites with the supercomputer to defeat Wolves, with a 61.4% win probability out of the 10,000 simulations conducted.
Out-of-form Wolves, by contrast, are given just a 16.9% chance of earning an unlikely victory against the title-chasing Gunners.
In terms of the season overall, Wolves are struggling at the wrong end of the table and currently sit 17th, which is where they are most likely to finish come the end of the campaign (44.5%).
Arsenal, meanwhile, are second in the table and the supercomputer gives them a 74.3% chance of placing there at the end of the term, while their chances of lifting the title are rated at 7.7%.
Wolves vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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