With the help of our supercomputer, we’re revealing all our predictions for every game each week of the 2024 NFL season.
Our projection model is with us every step of the way this season, providing us with data-backed predictions for all NFL games and season outcomes.
Of course, the Kansas City Chiefs are among the best bets when it comes to the title race, as Patrick Mahomes and company are chasing a third consecutive Super Bowl victory and their fourth in six seasons.
The Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers are some of those NFL teams hoping to challenge the Chiefs in the AFC, riding the play of quarterbacks Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson, C.J. Stroud and Justin Herbert.
Having frequently come so close to a title in recent years, the San Francisco 49ers entered the season as the favorites in the NFC West. But injuries have taken them out of the race.
The Philadelphia Eagles, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers and Washington Commanders are the leading contenders in the NFC’s wide-open conference race. Here’s our model’s playoff projection heading into Week 14:
Our AI-powered supercomputer is continuing to make predictions for every game this season, and Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season begins with the Packers visiting the NFC North-leading Lions on Thursday Night Football, and it continues with the Chargers renewing its rivalry with the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.
For those games and every touchdown in between, we’ve taken plenty of data, pumped it through our model and come up with our win probabilities. They’re not NFL picks against the spread.
So no matter if it’s a headliner or a game we may all be a bit less excited about, it unsentimentally beeps its way through its NFL picks, boldly dropping predictions for each.
Keep in mind that these percentages move throughout the week as player news shake things up (the following win probabilities were as of Wednesday). You can always find the win percentages – pregame or live – on our season-long predictions page.
Thursday Night Football
at Detroit Lions 62.5%, Green Bay Packers 37.5%
The Lions have won five out of their last six matchups versus the Packers, including a 24-14 win in Week 9 at Green Bay. Detroit secured the 10-point win despite giving up 411 total net yards to Green Bay. It was the first time the Lions allowed 400 or more net yards to the Packers while winning by at least 10 points since Oct. 26, 1952.
Sunday’s Schedule
at Miami Dolphins 70.5%, New York Jets 29.5%
The Jets are looking to snap an eight-game losing streak in Miami, their longest active road losing streak against a single opponent. It is also New York’s longest losing road streak in Miami in series history.
at Minnesota Vikings 67.6%, Atlanta Falcons 32.4%
The Vikings have recorded two separate five-game winning streaks in the same season for the second time in franchise history (1998). They started the year with five wins and have now won five straight following their Week 13 victory.
New Orleans Saints 60.9%, at New York Giants 39.1%
Alvin Kamara has topped 100 scrimmage yards in each of his three games against the Giants. It is the longest streak to begin a running back’s career against the Giants since Ricky Waters did it in his first six career games against the Giants (1992-97).
at Philadelphia Eagles 84.0%, Carolina Panthers 16.0%
Saquon Barkley is averaging 81.8 rushing yards in the second half of games this season. It’s on
pace to be the most in a single season by any NFL player in the last 30 years. Barkley’s 982 rushing yards in the second half is already the most second-half rushing yards by any Eagles’ player in a single season over the last 30 years. The Eagles lead the NFL in total EVE, and only the Ravens have a higher rushing EVE.
at Pittsburgh Steelers 70.4%, Cleveland Browns 29.6%
The Browns are seeking their first season sweep over the Steelers since 1988. To do so, Cleveland will need to snap a 20-game road losing streak at Pittsburgh, the second-longest road losing streak in NFL history (Lions, 23 straight at Green Bay from 1992-2014).
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70.7%, Las Vegas Raiders 29.3%
Bucky Irving has recorded 150 or more scrimmage yards in back-to-back games, the first rookie with consecutive games of 150+ yards from scrimmage since Miles Sanders in 2019. Irving is the second rookie in Bucs franchise history to record such a streak (Doug Martin, 2012).
at Tennessee Titans 60.9%, Jacksonville Jaguars 39.1%
The Jaguars have recorded at least 1.0 sack in 15 straight games against the Titans dating back to Week 16, 2016, their second longest such streak against any opponent in franchise history (Steelers, 17 straight from 1998-2018).
at Arizona Cardinals 57.7%, Seattle Seahawks 42.3%
Seattle has won six in a row against Arizona, including a 16-6 win in Week 12. The Cardinals converted zero rushing first downs in that game, their fewest since Week 17, 2015 also versus the Seahawks.
Buffalo Bills 59.8%, at Los Angeles Rams 40.2%
Buffalo has won 15 straight regular-season games in December/January dating back to 2021. That’s the second-longest winning streak in December/January regular-season games in NFL history, behind the Chargers’ 19 straight wins between 2006-10.
at San Francisco 49ers 64.2%, Chicago Bears 35.8%
Brock Purdy’s yards-per-attempt average has dropped from 9.64 last season (highest in last 25 seasons) to 8.35 this season. It is the third-largest decrease in pass yards per attempt (-1.29) by any qualified QB from one season to the next in the last five years.
Sunday Night Football
at Kansas City Chiefs 64.1%, Los Angeles Chargers 35.9%
Andy Reid’s 20 career wins against the Chargers are one shy of matching Mike Shanahan (21) for the most against the Chargers all time. The only coach with a better record than Reid against the Chargers (20-6, .769) is John Madden (16-2-2, .868; minimum 15 games).
Monday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals 62.5%, at Dallas Cowboys 37.5%
The Bengals have lost three straight games despite averaging 33.0 points per game during the streak. That’s the third-highest scoring average over a three-game losing streak in NFL history behind the 1966 Giants (36.3) and 1965 49ers (33.3).
Stats and facts provided by Stats Perform’s data insights team. Be sure to check out our MLB and NBA coverage, as well as all our college football and NFL picks. Follow us on X, Threads, Facebook and Instagram for more!
