With the help of our supercomputer, we’re revealing all our NFL predictions for every game each week of the 2024 season.
Our projection model will be with us every step of the way this season, providing us with data-backed predictions for all NFL games and season outcomes.
Of course, the Kansas City Chiefs are among the best bets when it comes to the title race, as Patrick Mahomes and company are chasing a third consecutive Super Bowl victory and their fourth in six seasons.
The Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans are some of those NFL teams hoping to challenge the Chiefs in the AFC, riding the play of their Pro Bowl-caliber quarterbacks Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and C.J. Stroud.
Having frequently come so close to a title in recent years, the San Francisco 49ers entered the season as the favorites to come out of the NFC. Can they overcome their injuries?
The Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks, Minnesota Vikings, and Philadelphia Eagles are potential challengers in what could be a wide-open conference race.
Now, all of that is a little far in the future to be given much consideration yet, but our AI-powered supercomputer is continuing to make predictions for every game this season.
This week begins with the Vikings visiting the Rams on Thursday Night Football, and it ends with the Giants traveling to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers on Monday Night Football. For those games and every touchdown in between, we’ve taken plenty of data, pumped it through our model and come up with our predictions.
Each week throughout the 2024 NFL season, the supercomputer has something to say about every game. No matter if it’s a headliner or a game we may all be a bit less excited about, it unsentimentally beeps its way through its NFL picks, boldly dropping predictions for each.
This week, it has the Falcons with the edge at Tampa Bay, Caleb Williams and the Bears with the advantage at Washington, and the beat-up 49ers picking up a big home win over the old NFC rival Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.
Keep in mind that these percentages move throughout the week as player news shake things up (the following win probabilities were as of Wednesday). You can always find the win percentages – pregame or live – on our season-long predictions page.
Thursday Night Football
Minnesota Vikings 57.4% at Los Angeles Rams 42.6%
Justin Jefferson has eight receptions of at least 25 yards this season, tied with George Pickens for the most in the NFL. Since being drafted in 2020, Jefferson has 74 receptions of 25+ yards, the most of any player over this span (Tyreek Hill with 58 is second in that time).
Sunday’s Schedule
Atlanta Falcons 54.9% at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 45.1%
The last three matchups between Atlanta and Tampa Bay have been decided by six points or fewer with the Falcons winning two of three. Over the last three seasons, no team has played more games decided by less than seven points than Atlanta (25 games; 12-13).
New York Jets 68.3% at New England Patriots 31.7%
The Jets have won back-to-back games against the Patriots for the first time since they won two in a row from 2008-09. New York is seeking its first season sweep of the Patriots since 2000.
Arizona Cardinals 38.9% at Miami Dolphins 61.1%
The Dolphins had four total catches from wide receivers in their last loss to the Colts. Miami’s four combined receptions from wide receivers are its fewest in a game since Week 11, 2011 (also four).
Green Bay Packers 59.8% at Jacksonville Jaguars 40.2%
Since Week 3, the Packers have held opponents to 4.4 second-half points per game compared to 15.4 first-half points per game. Over this span, Green Bay has only allowed two second-half touchdowns and have outscored opponents 66-22 after halftime.
Indianapolis Colts 32.3% at Houston Texans 67.7%
The Texans have won five consecutive games against AFC South opponents. A sixth straight win would be Houston’s second-longest versus its own division in franchise history (10 in 2015-16).
Tennessee Titans 17.6% at Detroit Lions 82.4%
Jared Goff’s 6,185 passing yards and 68.7% completion percentage since the start of 2023 rank first and third in the NFL, respectively (min. 250 att.). Over this span, the Lions are 14-2 in games in which Goff completes at least 65% of his passes. Detroit is only slightly behind the Ravens for the NFL lead in EVE, which measures average yards gained compared to the league-wide expected amount in a given situation.
Baltimore Ravens 72.2% at Cleveland Browns 27.8%
The Ravens and Browns have split their season series each of the last three years. Of these six games, the home team has won four times, and the team that finishes with more time of possession has come out victorious five times.
Philadelphia Eagles 41.7% at Cincinnati Bengals 58.3%
Jalen Hurts tossed his seventh career passing touchdown on fourth down in Week 7. His 125.3 passer rating on fourth down is the highest by any player over the last 30 years (minimum 25+ attempts; Joe Burrow is third at 124.0)
Buffalo Bills 57.6% at Seattle Seahawks 42.4%
The Bills lead the NFL with a plus-10 turnover differential and have yet to lose the turnover battle in any game this season. With another such game on Sunday, Buffalo would tie a franchise record eight consecutive games without a negative turnover differential to begin a
season (1979).
New Orleans Saints 27.0% at Los Angeles Chargers 73.0%
Justin Herbert threw for 349 yards in the Chargers’ recent loss and he has thrown for at
least 300 yards in 37.1% (13 of 35) of starts that he’s lost in his career. Since 1950, only
Andrew Luck (48.5%), Peyton Manning (40.5%) and Kurt Warner (38.8%) have thrown for
300 yards at a higher clip in starts they lost in their careers (min. 25 QB starts lost).
Chicago Bears 55.1% at Washington Commanders 44.9%
The Bears have scored a touchdown on 70.6% of their red-zone drives this season, the third-highest percentage in the NFL (Browns – 72.7%, Ravens – 75.9%). Chicago has scored a touchdown on five straight red-zone drives, the longest active streak in the NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs 74.2% at Las Vegas Raiders 25.8%
In the last meeting, Week 16 of last year, Las Vegas defeated Kansas City 20-14. It was the first time the Raiders held the Chiefs under 15 points since October 2013, ending the franchise’s longest run allowing a single opponent to score at least 15 points at 21 games.
Carolina Panthers 19.8% at Denver Broncos 80.2%
Bo Nix has thrown 224 passes and ran the ball 47 times with the Broncos. His seven career
games to reach 200+ pass attempts and 40+ carries are tied with Kyler Murray for the second fewest to reach those marks by anyone who did so since 1950. Only Cam Newton (six) has reached each mark in fewer career games in that span.
Sunday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys 35.4% at San Francisco 49ers 64.6%
The 49ers have had at least 200 net passing yards and 100 rushing yards in all seven games, tied for the second longest such streak in team history (9 straight in 2023). Only the 2016 Cowboys (10 games) and 1984 Cardinals (9 games) had these marks in at least eight consecutive games to start a season in the last 75 years.
Monday Night Football
New York Giants 29.6% at Pittsburgh Steelers 70.4%
Russell Wilson joined Tommy Maddox as the only Steelers quarterbacks since the merger to throw for at least 250 yards and two or more touchdowns in their first start with the team. Wilson is the only quarterback to do so in a win.
Stats and facts provided by Stats Perform’s data insights team. Be sure to check out our Yankees-Dodgers, NBA, NFL and college football coverage. And follow us on X and Instagram for more!
